This was written in 2013.
Over the decades it has become apparent that simply throwing more processor cycles at the problem of true artificial intelligence isn’t going to cut it. A brain is orders of magnitude more complex than any AI system developed thus far, but some are getting closer.
And in the seven years since this post, we now have GPT-3, capable of writing essays at least as good as college graduates, on just about any topic that interests you, whether that’s cryptocurrencies or the history of feudalism or the chemistry of marijuana.
I’m not trying to single out this article. It’s just a powerful reminder of how difficult it is for anybody to properly assess current technology, because of our inability to fully grasp the effects of exponential growth and the surprises of non-linear innovation.
We keep trying to peer into the future, and we keep being surprised when the future actually arrives.
What else are we getting wrong about our technologies of today? What other technologies have the skills or experience of a four year old?
A few come to mind: Virtual reality. Blockchains. Robots (although this is increasingly not the case).
Canada Autos Market Report 2010-2025
Saturday October 10, 2020
Canada Autos Market Report 2010-2025 features historical data and insights plus professional forecast on new vehicles sales by type, manufacturer, brand and model providing an easy-to-use picture of current and future competitive landscape. Research Contents Focus2move Automotive Market Reports provide a comprehensive and extensive overview about this market including information on the cars and light commercial market size, […]
Dominican Republic 2020. Hyundai holds 20% share of market still down almost 50%
Thursday November 12, 2020
Dominican Republic Vehicles market in 2020 is crippled and is still having difficulty to recover even though infections in the country have been decreasing slowly. Indeed, 1.097 units have been sold in September (-37.2%), leading Year to Date sales at 8.334 units (-47%). The leader Hyundai holds 20% market share. Economic Environment The economy contracted […]
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